Tariffs, Whales, And Volatility Ahead

Bitcoin traders are preparing for a week full of jam and potentially turbulent. From the rates looming to the BTC offer activities of the whale size, here are five main factors that market participants must maintain on their radar.

#1 US rates ready to intensify April 2nd

The global phase is preparing for what the President of the United States Donald Trump has nicknamed “Liberation Day” on April 2nd. According to the letter of Kobeissi (@kobeSSileter), the administration plan for “mutual rates” promises to be a watershed moment in the current commercial disputes.

“President Trump discussed this Wednesday 2 April, for weeks. This is a day in which he appointed” Liberation Day “in which new widespread rates arrive. We believe that April 2 will be the greatest escalation of the commercial war to date”, writes the letter from Kobiissi via X.

These rates will stratify at the top of a series of existing US duties that embrace steel, aluminum, Canadian goods, Mexican goods and many Chinese imports. Kobeissi’s letter underlines that also 25% of cars on cars imports and countries that buy Venezuelan oil will take effect this week. With retaliation measures from Canada, China, EU and Mexico on site, they warn a “massive commercial war”, intensifying the uncertainty for global markets.

Reading Reading

In addition to the details of the trade, the next few days could see the intensification of the pressure of inflation due to the greater costs of consumers on imported goods. Citing an increase in the uncertainty of economic policy in the economy, Kobeissi’s letter highlights: “Political uncertainty is currently above almost any crisis in the modern history of the United States. We are witnessing levels of uncertainty ~ 80% higher than in 2008. Consequently, market oscillations are enlarged and we foresee an extremely flying week.”

Add the latest threats by President Trump on Iran – where the “secondary rates” and potential withdrawals on Russian oil are on the table – and there are several international flash points that could feed the volatility of the market.

#2 Balena Bitcoin activities

In the Bitcoin Arena, large -scale liquidity maneuvers remain a focal point. Keith Alan (@kaproductions), co-founder of material indicators, has attracted attention to a potential whale strategy in action, attributed to a figure that double “Spoofy the Whale”.

“My first clue that happened something came with a sequence of micro movements that seemed to be a little different from its typical adjustment of the prices of its huge liquidity blocks. At a more careful look I noticed a scale of BTC Bid Liquidity in a perfect way and moved with its own and Shoo. And offered offers at $ 78k,” wrote Alan Sunday.

He also noticed the convergence of numerous news events – the weekly closing of Dunday, the monthly closure of Monday and the expected implementation implementation of midweek – which could catalyze further prices of prices. While recognizing that BTC could still go down, he underlined the apparent commitment of the whale to accumulate at the current levels: “In the great scheme of things, nothing of this means that the price of the BTC cannot go down lower, but it means that the whale that has suppressed the price of the BTC for the last 3 weeks is to use a DCA strategy to buy this DIM … and so they are.

#3 Bitcoin Bearish Flag Breakdown

The technical analyst Kevin (@kev_capiotal_ta) is warning the traders to keep an eye on the fundamental support levels following a breakage of the bearish flag: “We were monitoring this model of a bearish flag for the whole week and how we can see we had a break of $ 73k. Target.”

However, Kevin argues that, given a large negative feeling around April 2 (“ArmaGeddon Day” in some media corners), there is the possibility of a Contrarian turning point: “The tariff implementation on April 2 will be a rare” will sell the voices buys the news event “? … Everyone thinks that the world is suddenly for Fini.”

Reading Reading

He also added: “A little long liquidity at the $ 78k- $ 80K level, but a lot of juice in the $ 87k- $ 89k range (dark yellow) for the market makers who are drawn right before the CNBC proclaimed” Armageddon Day “on April 2.

#4 Expert players accumulate

From the point of view on a chain, Axel Adler Jr, Cryptquant analyst, observes that the participants in the expert market are moving to a new accumulation phase. By drawing on the destroyed days of value (VDD) indicator, Adler identifies a series of four distinct storage periods since the beginning of 2023, marking the current cycle as mature for a potential long -term rise:

“The absence of a significant sale in the current phase demonstrates the trust of these expert players according to which the current level of price BTC is not favorable for taking profits”. Adler stresses that historical data show low VDD periods often precede price increases, suggesting a medium -term bullish perspective: macro factors provided, including the shifts of global economic policy, do not derail the feeling of the market.

#5 GAP CME

Finally, the traders must look at the formation of Gap CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange), which was a remarkable feature in the action of Bitcoin prices. Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) has highlighted the recent filling of a gap between $ 82,000 and $ 85,000: “BTC has filled the general area CME GAP from $ 82k – $ 85k. Furthermore, Bitcoin will probably develop a new CME gap in this weekend … which could set BTC for a passage to at least $ 84k next week.”

The CME gaps often act as magnets for the action of prices and the analysis of Rekt Capital suggests a possible retracement to fill the new formation gaps or a continuation move that increases BTC, depending on how the largest market forces take place this week.

At the time of the press, BTC exchanged $ 82,010.

First floor image created with Dall.e, graphic designer by tradingview.com