Now that the tensions between Israel and Iran temporarily reduced, analysts restore their attention to the main step next to Bitcoin. Earlier this week, Bitcoin price fell shortly to less than $ 100,000 after Iranian missile strikes on US military bases in Qatar. Although the price recovered to $ 108,000 by Wednesday, derivative data indicates that the investor’s confidence may weaken. The question now is if the correction is the deeper on the horizon.
On Wednesday, the Bitcoin futures financing rate decreased to its lowest level in seven weeks, a rare step, especially with price climbing. In normal circumstances, traders who hold long positions pay fees to keep the leverage, and thus negative rates indicate the accumulation of short positions.
Part of the transformation may be associated with the broader geopolitical and economic certainty. The American trade war, which is re -equipped in April, is now approaching the main deadlines. An agreement with the euro area ends on July 9, and fears of escalating tensions. With more than 50 changes in customs tariffs since 2017, the Trump administration’s unexpected position continues to fuel the investor concern.
New data shows that the US trade deficit increased by 11 % in May.
This comes despite Trump’s allegations that definitions will significantly reduce the trade deficit. pic.twitter.com/nz0nnshrexy
FactPost (@FactPostNews) June 26, 2025
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Add economic pressure and artificial intelligence evaluation
The US GDP report showed the latest 0.5 % lattice on an annual basis in the first quarter, due significantly to a growing commercial deficit. However, the small American stocks that gather, as the Russell 2000 index reached four months, while Bitcoin is struggling to less than $ 112,000. This difference is frustrated for BTC Bulls.
In addition, concerns about the enlarged assessments driven by the noise of artificial intelligence affect the feeling. Gartner analyzes have warned that most “Augleic Ai” projects are still experimental and often wondered. Since investors are growing more careful, achieving profits above $ 105,000 has become more likely.
A possible catalyst for a bit Digital, a public runway, which has announced plans to get out of the BTC mining reserves and convert them into the ether. As of March 31, the company held 417.6 BTC and 24,434 ETH. This unexpected axis raises the risk of other mining workers, especially with the profitability of mining that reaches its lowest level for two months.
The company also unveiled a $ 150 million public offer at a value of 75 million ordinary shares at a price of $ 2, with the aim of using money to purchase more ether and focus on attention. After the announcement, Bit Digital shares decreased by approximately 19 % during the week, as it was closed at $ 1.99 on Friday, including a 15 % decrease. The shares fell to $ 1.86 before modest recovery after hours.
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For the price of Bitcoin, a potential scenario – but not the collapse
The macroeconomic trends still support a long -term thunderbolt, including pressure on central banks to maintain loose monetary policy, but the opposite winds are still short -term. If miners start filtering data and derivative data continues to reflect caution, Bitcoin can re -test the level of $ 100,000 before making another batch higher.
- Acute withdrawal: The market is often correct without a strong strong conviction once the pressure is over.
- Continuing Rally: If the horrific support gains the broader support, the financing will turn positively and the prices resume climbing after a short stop.
Either we cut this bull science directly on Bitcoin today or …
We get a small flow and then break it to the upward trend
Road $ BTC Hold, expecting ATHS is very soon
He passed the worst times and still is over 100 thousand dollars, send it! pic.twitter.com/cbz Goadq5uh
– Momin (Mominsaqib) June 27, 2025
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Main meals
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Negative financing rates: Despite the high prices, traders greatly shorten Bitcoin, which increases the risk of pressure or withdrawal.
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Geopolitical uncertainty: trade war tensions and GDP growth of the United States fans cautious feelings across risk origins, including BTC.
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Mines to ETH: Bitcoin’s Bitcoin to ETHEREUM signals that wear mining confidence and can lead to an increase in BTC pressure.
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Two potential results: History suggests either sharp correction or a continuous gathering as soon as the financing turns positively – the postpartum derivatives.
Analysts expect the Bitcoin price to lose 100 thousand dollars: for this reason, it first appeared on 99bitcoins.