Chloe (@Chloetalk1), HTX Deeptink Columnist and HTX Research Analyst, note that after a long weekend on July 4, the US announced an additional delay in tariffs originally set to carry out on August 1, buying a final negotiation window; Nonfarm Payroll of June rose 147,000 (with 16,000 upward revisions in recent months), the unemployment rate fell to 4.12%, and the average hour-time income rose 0.2% month-to-month-forcing July rate-cut of odds from 24% to 5%, with rates of terminals now at 3.8% of end-2012 and 2012 3.15% of END-2026.
Fueled by the main stimulus of Trump management tax and strengthening NATO’s defense, S&P 500 repeatedly sets new highs, Bitcoin expanded its acquisitions this morning, and the ETH ETFS logs their largest single-day quarter flow of quarter-while BMNR’s BMNR has increased its $ 250 million 30 ×.
Last night’s release in June of the Fed of June revealed a deep division on the impact of the inflationary of tariffs: only a few officials favor a July rate fiber while most remain. The next pivotal moments were the CPI report of July 15 and this week’s income period. In the “Tariff Delay + Fiscal Expansion + Labor-Market Resilience + Fed Discord” Summer window, both the BTC and the S&P 500 appear to be neat to expand their short-term strength-even as their trajectory remains highly sensitive to the upcoming Macro data, geopolitical development, and policy signals.
On-chain metrics confirmed market underpinning: the BTC reserve centralized exchange has fallen to about 2.4 million coins (<11% of the supply). In derivatives, the BTC's Open interest derivit option led $ 40 billion with a 0.75 put/call ratio and a maximum of $ 102,000 pain, while Eth Oi options exceed $ 20 billion with 0.52 mud/ratio call and a point of pain at $ 2,200 - highlighting tight sore, stablecoin buying powers, Careful optimism suggesting rear and basis - break below $ 102,000 in BTC or $ 2,200 in ETH can trigger significant cosmetics driven by choice.
*The above content is not an investment advice and does not generate any offer or request an offer or recommendation of any investment product.
Source: HTX research
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