One of the most expected moments in the always dynamic crypto world has been recently Altcoins seasonA period in the sector in which enormous capital inflows of Bitcoin, the largest digital asset, change to smaller market capitalization coins. However, many predictions about an old season develop, but it seems that it weakens optimistically compared to the event because volatility occurs again.
Skepticism compared to old coins is still lingering
In the middle of the recent growing volatility, several crypto analysts continue to predict that an old coin season could be on the horizon. The youngest analyst, which predicted an old season before the end of the current bull market cycle, is Magazine.
After examining the ETH/BTC diagram in the 1-year period, the expert points out a shift from A Bitcoin season In an old Sea season because it forms a macro trend line. In the table, the couple has achieved a similar level that kept the old coins market stable during the previous cycle.
If the price is recovered from the level, Magazine is confident that an altitude that could take place before the macrotrendline was finally rejected. “If it is going on, we may see a sharp step in front of the upcoming bear market,” added the expert.
Even if crypto analysts, technical indicators and historical trends indicate an in -depth old -seas season, the latest mood of investors is nearby Altcoins contradicts this term. This is due to their persistent skepticism and the bear conviction in the digital assets, since they are persistent against volatility.
In particular, this decreasing feeling is discovered by large investors or whales, which triggers concerns about the future of old coins. In a contribution on the X platform Alphractal, an extended on-chain data platform, reported That these great investors consistently show interest in the abbreviation of old coins.
Data show that whales often close their long positions and place short bets in most old coins, while retail investors are susceptible. The whale vs. Retail Delta indicator shows this proportional inequality between the positions of large and small investors.
According to the on-chain platform, Whales are often more interested in closing long and opening shorts When the values are negative. Positive values indicate an emphasis on opening long positions and closing short positions.
Such a development indicates a cautious approach of great investors, if not from a direct term Bitcoin dominance Gradually increases, which is currently positioned at 63.8%. During this time of demolition, Alphractal said that the secret of not going against the river to understand what great investors are doing now.
AltSeason reflects the previous cycle
While an old Sea season probably seems, Cas Abbe, a crypto analyst and trader, has predicted A season similar to past cyclus trends. With the 2-week time trough diagram, the expert of the upcoming 2025-2026 believes Altsoen will most likely follow the 2017-2018 trend.
Cas Abbe believes that this could happen and quotes the former government of US President Donald Trump in the cycle. During this time, old coins could not pump in the second quarter, and this time there was no exception. He also made a comparison between the current activity of the Fed and China with the cycle 2017-2018. Therefore, CAS ABBE is confident Old a long increase in the second quarter is recorded with a blow-off peak in Q1 2026.
Selected picture of iStock, diagram of tradingview.com
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