The last Bitcoin retreat is not just an encryption problem – it closely follows the performance of major technical stocks such as Apple, Tesla and Microsoft. Geoff Kendrick of Standard Charged points to this as the “Seven Magnificent Seven Plus Bitcoin” collection. While Tesla struggled, Meta and Apple remained more flexible. Bitcoin’s movements are largely driven through instability in the broader market rather than internal encryption factors. In addition, the uncertainty surrounding Trump’s commercial policies on Canada presses investor morale.
The encryption market is currently in the “risk” stage, as investors avoid highly dangerous assets. Bitcoin reflected the shrinkage in growth -focused technology shares, reflecting the high economic uncertainty and cautious market morale.
Federal reserve signals can provoke a recovery – a test for Bitcoin
Kendrick says Bitcoin needs one of two things to wear: either the arrows (especially technology) begin climbing again, or federal reserve hints to reduce interest rates. Bitcoin can rise if federal reserve signals are easier money – reduced in May. Currently, traders see a 50 % opportunity for this to happen. It can be a stronger hint or actually cutting the spark encryption needs.
But if the shares remain weak and the federal reserve is not budget, the bitcoin may decrease. Kendrick warns that it may decrease from $ 7,6500 to $ 69,000. However, he is optimistic in the long run, and is expected to be $ 200,000 by the end of 2025 if the Fed Bank is eventually eased.
Federal Reserve and Tramp Tensions add pressure
The next meeting of Federal Reserve Studies is March 19, most of whom are expected to remain the same (97 %). There is no change that can disappoint the investors, while maintaining bitcoin under pressure. Unchanging prices may push Bitcoin to $ 70,000 soon, leading to the withdrawal of other metal coins such as ETHEREUM and Solana with them.
In addition, the new commercial tariffs – such as 25 % proposed Trump tax on imports from Mexico and Canada – are markets. This trade war may slow growth and harm risky assets such as stocks and encryption more.
Some analysts even expect that strict trade tactics of management are a deliberate maneuver to pressure the federal reserve in cutting rates sooner. The theory is that the White House can stimulate the Federal Reserve to intervene with a rate of reduction in average by undermining market confidence and economy tension. In fact, the interest rate futures quickly turned to reflect the increasing expectations for the reduction of the Federal Reserve: approximately 46 % chance to reduce the rate by May, and rose to about 90 % by June so far. This indicates that the markets are increasingly betting that the Federal Reserve will have to respond to the economic and geopolitical geography risks in the coming months.
The stock markets have struggled in the current mix of tightening the federal reserve and commercial conflicts. For example, S& P 500 gains since the beginning of the second period of Trump state are much smaller than it was during the equivalent period in his first term, which reflects the confidence of the weakest investor and growth interests.
Solana and Ethereum have already faced sales along with Bitcoin’s decline. Currently, Bitcoin is stuck. The conversion of the Federal Reserve or the collection of stocks can raise it, but it may mean more uncertainty first.
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Main meals
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Bitcoin tracks technology shares – its decline follows the main technology shares like Tesla and Apple, which reflects the wider instability in the market.
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Federal Reserve price discounts can increase bitcoin – a reduction in May that may lead to recovery; Traders see a 50 % chance.
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Trade tensions are damaged – Trump’s tariff adds 25 % to Mexico and Canada by pressure on stocks and encryption.
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Bitcoin’s path is not certain – without the Federal Reserve Transformation, Bitcoin may decrease to $ 69,000; The long -term target remains 200 thousand dollars by 2025.
Post Bitcoin is located with stocks after Trump’s trade war – the next step for FED? First appeared on 99bitcoins.