Top Analyst Predicts New Bitcoin Peak Timeline And ‘Double Cycle’

The cryptocurrency analyst, Bob Loukas, delivered a bitcoin update, suggesting that the asset could enter the “perfect storm” phase of its four -year cycle. But in a turning point that challenges traditional cycle models, Loukas now sees the possibility of a delayed blowing top that extends at the beginning of 2026 and introduces the prospect of a rare double cycle structure.

In his last episode of the four-year trip published on June 26, Loukas reiterates that the current cycle of bitcoin-initiated with the low November 2022-Rivo structurally intact and approaches its climatic phase. “This is certainly the most bullish phase of the four -year cycle,” says Loukas. “Now we are somehow on the cusp of what has traditionally been the beginning or the breath of a cycle.”

Did Bitcoin Blowoff delayed?

What separates this cycle, according to Loukas, is the unique combination of fundamental maturation and a confluence of macro, institutional and regulatory forces. These include continuous influents of ETF, adoption of the corporate treasure and a change in radical policy under the Trump administration, including what anticipates it could be an appointment with the pro-Crypto Fed seat. Together, these forces are creating what calls a “perfect storm” for the expansion of prices.

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Loukas is cautious in providing hard price objectives, but recognizes a double effect that could send Bitcoin from its current range close to $ 110,000 to up to $ 150,000 – $ 170,000 in the short term. Historically, these phases have seen double Bitcoin in a few months once the new maximums are violated. “A bull -up breakout can see Bitcoin essentially almost double in a very short period of time,” he says, indicating the previous legs of the cycle in which Bitcoin rose from $ 25k to $ 75k or $ 50k to $ 100k inside five months windows.

However, what makes this last relationship particularly remarkable is the introduction of Loukas of a more complex structure that calls a “double cycle cycle”. It describes this as a fusion of two vents for cycles of four years adjacent, a concept that could delay the market until February or March 2026, well beyond the traditional peak window of the 35 month cycle.

“If we still had a kind of expansion of six or seven months to a peak … which would bring us to perhaps even a peak of February or March”, explains Loukas. This scenario, although still within the wider cyclical rhythm, would imply a tendency to rise of 39-41 months rather than the typical 33-35 months. “I think it’s time … 15–16 years from the adoption of Bitcoin,” he observes, referring to the arch from the first technological believers to the profound institutional penetration.

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The implications are significant. A delayed peak could mean a much shorter corrective phase – or even the emergence of a second explosive gathering at the beginning of the next cycle, creating what Loukas describes as the illusion of an extended supercycle. “There is still a positive potential to enter this cycle,” he says, warning that many could be caught off guard. “You don’t want to be surprised.”

Price objectives BTC

Loukas also faces the picture of the wider sentiment, noting that the typical mania – the type that marked the peaks in 2017 and at the end of 2021 – has not yet materialized. “We have not seen that type of blowing, an absolute extreme feeling that you generally see near the top,” he says. He sees this as further evidence that the final phase is still ahead.

As for the price target for a supercycle, Loukas meditates: “I can see the numbers in the quarter of one million level. I can also see some really crazy numbers when you see previous Manias and bubbles in different classes of activity, […] Seeing a 5x, 6x, 7x move from here for a period of 2 years in a larger mania is not really a stroke. Even from the point of view of market capitalization, it is not a trait, seeing where gold is already going through the level of $ 20 trillion and well beyond. “

While underlining that these ideas are probabilistic and non -forecast, Loukas warns long -term consequences if his double cycle thesis takes place. A enormous influx of institutional capital, sovereign interest and retail mania could ultimately trigger the first real market of the secular bears of Bitcoin, one not measured in months but in years. “If you consider a lead for mania in which so many treasury companies and traditional flows come together and reach the peak … the process requires much more time.”

For now, the Loukas model portfolio remains partially in cash after cutting some positions near the recent maximums, reflecting a conservative approach tailored to the conservation of capital. However, it recognizes that younger or more risk tolerant investors can see this moment as a final storage window before the start of the next phase. “This video is very, very confident, right?” Jokes.

At the time of the press, BTC exchanged $ 107,317.

First floor image created with Dall.e, graphic designer by tradingview.com