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In a thread on Milne’s insights carry significant weight in the investment community.
Bitcoin predictions for 2025
Milne began his prediction by addressing the potential involvement of the United States in the accumulation of Bitcoin. “Some of my Bitcoin predictions for 2025: The most important: Trump will not announce the purchase of Bitcoin on behalf of the United States in 2025, but he will sign an order that will prevent the sale of any seized BTC… creating a reserve of done will still create global FOMO,” Milne said.
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Milne therefore predicts that Trump will not follow US Senator Cynthia Lummis’ Bitcoin Act, which proposes to buy 1 million BTC over five years. However, Milne believes that the US under the leadership of President-elect Trump will keep its 198,109 BTC (according to Arkham data) as a national reserve as promised by Trump during the latest Bitcoin conference in Nashville, potentially triggering the fear of missing out (FOMO) globally.
By expanding internationally, Milne expects greater adoption by smaller, more nimble nations. “Other smaller, more nimble nations (besides Bhutan and El Salvador) will announce Bitcoin reserves and begin buying or mining before the United States. Middle Eastern countries will start announcing their participations,” he noted.
Corporate engagement with Bitcoin is also expected to increase. Milne predicts that at least one other S&P 500 company, i.e. not Tesla or MicroStrategy, will announce a Bitcoin acquisition in 2025.
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Price projections remain bullish in Milne’s Bitcoin forecast. He anticipates: “Bitcoin should reach around $200-250,000, even without the purchase by the US government. If the US starts buying, expect a value close to $500,000. Yes, in 2025. That’s because it officially becomes an arms race between nation states and there isn’t enough Bitcoin.”
Milne also addresses market dynamics, predicting that Bitcoin will peak in the second half of the year. While his tip is for October, he speculates that the bear market will be “significantly milder than previous ones, as nation states and corporations slowly build up.”
Addressing concerns about security and market stability, Milne says: “Bitfinex is finally sending back most of its hacked BTC…causing a temporary dip in the market as people FUD and say they will dump the Bitcoin (not they will do, they’) we will slowly convert 80% of it into LEO over 18 months).”
The collapse and subsequent recovery of major exchanges also plays a role in Milne’s Bitcoin predictions for 2025. He states: “FTX begins distributing USD to creditors in the first quarter, across several large exchanges… making it easy for them to reinvest in Bitcoin, etc. At least 50% of the money returned will be reinvested.” This influx of reinvested funds is expected to inject liquidity back into the Bitcoin market, driving renewed price upside.
Milne does not overlook the performance of institutional investors, noting: “MSTR achieves a ‘Bitcoin yield’ of around 30% in 2025 before the premium closes.” Finally, Milne concludes his Bitcoin predictions with a note to Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht. During the election campaign, incoming US President Donald Trump promised to free Ulbricht. He predicts that Trump will follow his words: “Ross will be freed.”
At the time of writing, BTC was trading at $93,070.
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com