Since the initial ceasefire began in Gaza, what was supposed to be a fragile step toward peace quickly turned into renewed violence. The recent bombing, which claimed the lives of more than a hundred Palestinians in one day, has left many questioning whether Israel intends to respect the truce at all. Despite public statements of “adherence” to the US-backed agreement, the Israeli military continues to carry out airstrikes and strikes across Gaza and southern Lebanon, often citing security concerns as justification.
For Palestinians, these words ring hollow. Each new strike reinforces the belief that “ceasefire” has become a meaningless political term: a cover for continued aggression that deepens despair rather than providing calm.
A woman in Gaza records the first moments after Israel bombed her home despite a “ceasefire” that Israel constantly violates. pic.twitter.com/UbGlYHiq4j
– Wear The Peace (@WearThePeaceCo) October 30, 2025
The markets have taken notice. The return of violence in the Middle East has coincided with increased volatility in global assets, including cryptocurrencies.
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Bitcoin
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$63.58 billion
The price is 7 D
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It bounced between $106,000 and $110,000 this week as traders reassessed the risks. Analysts say the connection between geopolitics and cryptocurrency sentiment has strengthened, with investors responding to every headline linked to war or politics.
The ceasefire, backed by the United States and reached through Gulf mediators, was intended to represent a political victory for President Donald Trump, who has presented himself as a stabilizing force in the region.
But as Israeli aggression intensified, its narrative of peacemaking began to fade, and with it the fragile confidence underpinning markets that depend on predictable diplomacy.
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Gaza and Lebanon: Ceasefire in name only
In Gaza, Israeli air strikes over the past 24 hours have killed more than a hundred Palestinians, making it one of the bloodiest periods since the ceasefire began. Health officials in the region described this as retaliation for the killing of an Israeli soldier, while Israel maintains that it is working against a “terrorist infrastructure.” However, on the ground, there are few signs of discrimination: residential buildings, markets and medical facilities have been repeatedly bombed.
Israel insists it remains committed to the truce, but its actions tell a different story. The so-called Yellow Line – a series of concrete marks demarcating Israeli-controlled areas every 200 meters – has become both a symbol and a trap. Civilians say the signs are almost invisible and practically meaningless: crossing into one’s neighborhood can be met with live ammunition. The borders that were supposed to provide order now represent chaos, deepening mistrust and fear among those trying to return home.
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The situation in Lebanon reflects this pattern. Despite a formal ceasefire signed in late 2024, Israeli forces continued artillery shelling and air strikes in the south. President Joseph Aoun ordered Lebanese forces to resist the incursions after a municipal worker was killed in an Israeli raid overnight. United Nations observers have recorded more than 4,500 ceasefire violations since the start of the truce.
Israel says it is targeting Hezbollah positions, but these operations increasingly look like strategic pressure tactics. The result is a two-front crisis that undermines not only regional stability but also the credibility of international diplomacy itself.
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For Trump, peace is a financial issue, not a humanitarian one: billions in cryptocurrencies are at stake
For Trump, the image of peace in Gaza has become a political and financial necessity. His administration, along with advisers Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, attempted to broker a truce while seeking broader normalization between Israel and Arab countries within the framework of the Abraham Accords.
Behind this push lies a significant overlap of interests: both the Kushner family and Witkoff’s business network have received billions of dollars in investments from Qatar and the United Arab Emirates, most of which are tied to cryptocurrency projects and related funds.
Senator Merkley: The United Arab Emirates buys $2 billion of Trump Coin and invests it in Binance. In return, Trump says: “Those advanced AI chips that we said for national security reasons we couldn’t give you, we will give them to you.”
-Spencer Hakimian (@SpencerHakimian) October 29, 2025
When Israel bombed Doha earlier this year in an attempt to kill Hamas negotiators, it threatened those same financial ties. The resulting diplomatic backlash reportedly prompted Trump to pressure Israel for a ceasefire. Not out of moral urgency, but to protect the flow of Gulf capital to US-allied projects. Maintaining the “appearance” of peace serves the dual function of preserving Trump’s foreign policy rhetoric and protecting private investments tied to his constituency.
The current escalation is testing this balance. As the conflict erupted, investors withdrew liquidity from risky assets, leading to a decline in cryptocurrency volumes across major exchanges. Funding rates remain negative as traders reduce leverage. Meanwhile, institutional flows into bitcoin ETFs have slowed amid broader concerns about energy prices and inflation, two big factors often linked to regional instability.
For a market that was once hailed as a hedge against global uncertainty, cryptocurrencies are now moving in step with it.
As long as the Gaza ceasefire remains in doubt, the uneasy intersection of politics, war and money will continue to dictate sentiment.
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Key takeaways
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Trump’s mediation in Gaza is motivated not by humanitarian goals but by financial interests — his department’s investments, including Gulf-backed cryptocurrency projects, depend on regional stability and continued cooperation within the framework of the Abraham Accords.
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The escalating tensions have weakened crypto liquidity, slowed institutional Bitcoin flows, and reinforced how tightly the digital asset now moves with geopolitical risks.
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